Scenario Planning as a Creative Discipline
Stretch assumptions with a cone of uncertainty and combine drivers like regulation, technology shifts, and supply shocks. A logistics firm discovered a surprising upside scenario where nearshoring plus automation reduced vulnerability and cost. Create contrasts that challenge habits and reveal hidden strategic options.
Scenario Planning as a Creative Discipline
Host cross-functional simulations where teams pressure-test plans, then run a pre-mortem to imagine failure causes. A bank uncovered a liquidity choke point during a role-played market freeze, fixing it months before stress hit. Practice the hard days, so the real hard day feels familiar.